Forecasting The type of forecasting that should be in place at an insurance company is time series analysis, as it is through this approach to forecasting that prior demands are used to predict future demands (Chase et al. 2005). At the particular insurance corporation in question, this is precisely the type of forecasting that is in place; the number of claims expected in a given period of time is based on the number of claims (in relation to the number of clients covered by insurance policies) in previous comparable time periods, and perhaps more importantly the specific time demands of any given claim are predicted based on the average times of claims handled by the organization. For firms like insurance companies where per-unit "production" times and resource demands vary, time series analysis is an essential means of forecasting to ensure proper human and other resources...
2008). For insurance companies, however -- for the particular insurance company in question, at least, and presumably for all insurance companies that manage to meet their growth and profitability targets -- this method of forecasting is quite effective. The averages used to make forecasts are derived from large and ever-growing data populations, increasing their accuracy, and the accuracy of the data used is one of the key factors in determining the accuracy of forecasts and predictions (Chase et al. 2005; Armstrong 2001).
The distributor would as such be able to identify the new needs of the customers and the suppliers, and will be able to serve them in quick and efficient manner, by delivering results before the competition even becomes aware of the existence of the changes incurred. In other words, competitive advantages would be created (Royer, 2005). Within the longer term, a suggestion is made in the combination of qualitative
Forecasting Techniques Business decisions require accurate forecasting which takes into account the possible trends and twists in the economy and the society. One of the earliest accounts of forecasting can be found in the Bible when Joseph interpreted dreams and told people there would be seven years of harvest followed by seven years of drought. With careful forecasting, the Pharaoh and his people could prepare themselves for the latter period of
The narrow selfishness of these terrorists then relate to the well-being of their families in either the positive or negative sense. They engage in suicidal terrorism to either protect their families from the threat of harm, or to provide them with comfort by means of money. On the other hand, Caplan also notes that suicidal terrorism is extremely rare, and is therefore a greater indicator of self-interest among terrorists than
57 Spillover Effect on the Stock Market and Bond Prices in Relation with GARCH Abstract This study examines the spillover effect between bond and stock markets in the U.S. using GARCH. The finding of a unidirectional spillover flow from bonds to stocks in the U.S. is discussed in the light of new marketplace variables that have been introduced into the markets in the previous decade. These variables include the rise of HFT, algorithm-driven
Forecasting: Kentucky Swamp Brew Forecasting demand within the brewing industry is dependent upon three basic factors: "trends, cycles, and seasonal patterns" (Elfner n.d.). Trends are defined as gradual shifts in demand that permanently affect the demand for the good or service; cycles are repetitious shifts in demand that manifest themselves in cyclical and predictable patters; and seasonal shifts are changes that occur periodically (Elfner n.d.). For example, a trend for Kentucky
Rules for Effective Forecasting: The main goal of forecasting is to identify the complete range of probabilities facing a society, organization, or the entire world. Forecasting is a process based on prediction and a major process in determining the future and how to prepare for it. This process of forecasting is based on the myth of accurate prediction, which is based on the assumption that forecasting is achievable in a
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